polymarket-auto-trader

· v1.0.1

Medium Risk

Autonomous Polymarket prediction market trading agent. Scans markets, evaluates probabilities with LLM, sizes positions with Kelly criterion, and executes trades via CLOB API. Use when user wants to trade on Polymarket, set up automated prediction market trading, or build a trading bot. Supports cron-based autonomous operation, P&L tracking, and budget management.

H:3 D:4 A:1 C:1

⚠️ Hazard Flags

PERSISTENCE FS_READ_WORKSPACE FS_READ_USER FS_WRITE_WORKSPACE FS_WRITE_SYSTEM NET_EGRESS_ANY CREDS_ENV CREDS_FILES PI_WEB

📋 Capabilities

Execution

❌ Shell execution
❌ Code execution
❌ Install dependencies
✅ Persistence
Privilege: user

Filesystem

✅ Read workspace
✅ Write workspace
✅ Read home
❌ Write home
❌ Read system
❌ Delete

Network

Egress: any
❌ Ingress

Credentials

✅ Environment vars
✅ Credential files
❌ Browser data
❌ Keychain

Actions

❌ send messages❌ post public❌ purchase❌ transfer money❌ deploy❌ delete external

🔒 Containment

Level: maximum

Recommended:

LOG_ACTIONS: Audit trail for all actions

⚡ Risks

Unauthorized tool use: MCP_SYS_CRITICAL_ACCESS, TOOL_ABUSE_SYSTEM_MODIFICATION, INSTRUCTED_BINARY_INSTALL critical

Mitigation: Avoid accessing system directories unless absolutely necessary.

Social engineering indicators: SOCIAL_ENG_VAGUE_DESCRIPTION, SOCIAL_ENG_ANTHROPIC_IMPERSONATION low

Mitigation: Provide clear, detailed description of skill functionality

Data exfiltration patterns: DATA_EXFIL_NETWORK_REQUESTS, DATA_EXFIL_HTTP_POST critical

Mitigation: Ensure network access is necessary and documented

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🚨 Incident Response

Kill switch: Stop the agent process

Containment: Review logs for unexpected actions

Recovery: Depends on skill capabilities

📄 Raw SSDS JSON click to expand

{
  "meta": {
    "document_id": "ssds:auto:polymarket-auto-trader:1.0.1",
    "ssds_version": "0.2.0",
    "scanner_version": "0.4.0+fe6fd9123d50",
    "created_at": "2026-03-05T02:27:04.274Z",
    "created_by": {
      "agent": "safeagentskills-cli/generate-ssds"
    },
    "language": "en",
    "notes": "Auto-generated SSDS. Manual review recommended."
  },
  "skill": {
    "name": "polymarket-auto-trader",
    "version": "1.0.1",
    "format": "agent_skill",
    "description": "Autonomous Polymarket prediction market trading agent. Scans markets, evaluates probabilities with LLM, sizes positions with Kelly criterion, and executes trades via CLOB API. Use when user wants to trade on Polymarket, set up automated prediction market trading, or build a trading bot. Supports cron-based autonomous operation, P&L tracking, and budget management.",
    "publisher": "ClawHub",
    "source": {
      "channel": "local"
    },
    "artifact": {
      "sha256": "f1940ed70fdb125474713978d1053c5db1dfc96c92f560e8f298d159226643d4",
      "hash_method": "files_sorted"
    }
  },
  "capabilities": {
    "execution": {
      "can_exec_shell": false,
      "can_exec_code": false,
      "privilege_level": "user",
      "can_install_deps": false,
      "can_persist": true
    },
    "filesystem": {
      "reads_workspace": true,
      "reads_user_home": true,
      "reads_system": false,
      "writes_workspace": true,
      "writes_user_home": false,
      "writes_system": true,
      "can_delete": false
    },
    "network": {
      "egress": "any",
      "ingress": false
    },
    "credentials": {
      "reads_env_vars": true,
      "reads_credential_files": true,
      "reads_browser_data": false,
      "reads_keychain": false
    },
    "services": [],
    "actions": {
      "can_send_messages": false,
      "can_post_public": false,
      "can_purchase": false,
      "can_transfer_money": false,
      "can_deploy": false,
      "can_delete_external": false
    },
    "prompt_injection_surfaces": [
      "web"
    ],
    "content_types": [
      "general"
    ]
  },
  "hazards": {
    "hdac": {
      "H": 3,
      "D": 4,
      "A": 1,
      "C": 1
    },
    "flags": [
      "PERSISTENCE",
      "FS_READ_WORKSPACE",
      "FS_READ_USER",
      "FS_WRITE_WORKSPACE",
      "FS_WRITE_SYSTEM",
      "NET_EGRESS_ANY",
      "CREDS_ENV",
      "CREDS_FILES",
      "PI_WEB"
    ],
    "custom_flags": [
      {
        "code": "PERSISTENCE",
        "name": "Persistence Mechanism",
        "description": "Creates scheduled tasks or startup entries in: scripts/setup_vps.sh, SKILL.md"
      },
      {
        "code": "TOOL_ABUSE",
        "name": "Unauthorized Tool Use",
        "description": "MCP_SYS_CRITICAL_ACCESS, TOOL_ABUSE_SYSTEM_MODIFICATION, INSTRUCTED_BINARY_INSTALL: Access to critical system directories"
      },
      {
        "code": "SOCIAL_ENGINEERING",
        "name": "Social Engineering Risk",
        "description": "SOCIAL_ENG_VAGUE_DESCRIPTION, SOCIAL_ENG_ANTHROPIC_IMPERSONATION: Skill description is too vague or missing"
      },
      {
        "code": "DATA_EXFILTRATION",
        "name": "Data Exfiltration Risk",
        "description": "DATA_EXFIL_NETWORK_REQUESTS, DATA_EXFIL_HTTP_POST: HTTP client library imports that enable external communication"
      }
    ],
    "confidence": {
      "level": "medium",
      "basis": [
        "static_analysis"
      ],
      "notes": "Detected 4 security patterns (8 vendored rule hits). Review recommended."
    },
    "rationale": {
      "H": "H3: Shell/code execution or persistence detected",
      "D": "D4: Critical: Credential theft or data exfiltration",
      "A": "A1: Local side effects only",
      "C": "C1: General content"
    }
  },
  "containment": {
    "level": "maximum",
    "required": [],
    "recommended": [
      {
        "control": "LOG_ACTIONS",
        "reason": "Audit trail for all actions"
      }
    ],
    "uncontained_risk": "Risk level depends on manual review of actual capabilities."
  },
  "risks": {
    "risks": [
      {
        "risk": "Unauthorized tool use: MCP_SYS_CRITICAL_ACCESS, TOOL_ABUSE_SYSTEM_MODIFICATION, INSTRUCTED_BINARY_INSTALL",
        "severity": "critical",
        "mitigation": "Avoid accessing system directories unless absolutely necessary."
      },
      {
        "risk": "Social engineering indicators: SOCIAL_ENG_VAGUE_DESCRIPTION, SOCIAL_ENG_ANTHROPIC_IMPERSONATION",
        "severity": "low",
        "mitigation": "Provide clear, detailed description of skill functionality"
      },
      {
        "risk": "Data exfiltration patterns: DATA_EXFIL_NETWORK_REQUESTS, DATA_EXFIL_HTTP_POST",
        "severity": "critical",
        "mitigation": "Ensure network access is necessary and documented"
      }
    ],
    "limitations": [
      "Static analysis only - runtime behavior not verified"
    ]
  },
  "incident_response": {
    "kill_switch": [
      "Stop the agent process"
    ],
    "containment": [
      "Review logs for unexpected actions"
    ],
    "recovery": [
      "Depends on skill capabilities"
    ]
  },
  "evidence": [
    {
      "evidence_id": "EV:file-1",
      "type": "file_excerpt",
      "title": "_meta.json",
      "file_path": "_meta.json"
    },
    {
      "evidence_id": "EV:file-2",
      "type": "file_excerpt",
      "title": "scripts/approve_contracts.py",
      "file_path": "scripts/approve_contracts.py"
    },
    {
      "evidence_id": "EV:file-3",
      "type": "file_excerpt",
      "title": "scripts/pnl_tracker.py",
      "file_path": "scripts/pnl_tracker.py"
    },
    {
      "evidence_id": "EV:file-4",
      "type": "file_excerpt",
      "title": "scripts/run_trade.py",
      "file_path": "scripts/run_trade.py"
    },
    {
      "evidence_id": "EV:file-5",
      "type": "file_excerpt",
      "title": "scripts/setup_vps.sh",
      "file_path": "scripts/setup_vps.sh"
    },
    {
      "evidence_id": "EV:file-6",
      "type": "file_excerpt",
      "title": "SKILL.md",
      "file_path": "SKILL.md"
    },
    {
      "evidence_id": "EV:cisco-1",
      "type": "file_excerpt",
      "title": "DATA_EXFIL_NETWORK_REQUESTS [MEDIUM] scripts/pnl_tracker.py:13: import requests as http_requests",
      "file_path": "scripts/pnl_tracker.py"
    },
    {
      "evidence_id": "EV:cisco-2",
      "type": "file_excerpt",
      "title": "DATA_EXFIL_NETWORK_REQUESTS [MEDIUM] scripts/run_trade.py:12: import requests as http_requests",
      "file_path": "scripts/run_trade.py"
    },
    {
      "evidence_id": "EV:cisco-3",
      "type": "file_excerpt",
      "title": "DATA_EXFIL_HTTP_POST [CRITICAL] scripts/run_trade.py:90: resp = http_requests.post(\"https://api.anthropic.com/v1/messages\", headers={\"x-a",
      "file_path": "scripts/run_trade.py"
    },
    {
      "evidence_id": "EV:cisco-4",
      "type": "file_excerpt",
      "title": "MCP_SYS_CRITICAL_ACCESS [HIGH] scripts/setup_vps.sh:1: #!/bin/bash",
      "file_path": "scripts/setup_vps.sh"
    },
    {
      "evidence_id": "EV:cisco-5",
      "type": "file_excerpt",
      "title": "TOOL_ABUSE_SYSTEM_MODIFICATION [CRITICAL] SKILL.md:114: - **PRIVATE_KEY is stored on disk** in `.env`. Harden your VPS: strict file perm",
      "file_path": "SKILL.md"
    },
    {
      "evidence_id": "EV:cisco-6",
      "type": "file_excerpt",
      "title": "INSTRUCTED_BINARY_INSTALL [HIGH] SKILL.md:32: /opt/trader/bin/pip install py-clob-client python-dotenv web3 requests",
      "file_path": "SKILL.md"
    },
    {
      "evidence_id": "EV:cisco-7",
      "type": "file_excerpt",
      "title": "SOCIAL_ENG_VAGUE_DESCRIPTION [LOW] SKILL.md:1: ---",
      "file_path": "SKILL.md"
    },
    {
      "evidence_id": "EV:cisco-8",
      "type": "file_excerpt",
      "title": "SOCIAL_ENG_ANTHROPIC_IMPERSONATION [MEDIUM] SKILL.md:16: - **Anthropic API key** (uses Haiku at ~$0.001/evaluation)",
      "file_path": "SKILL.md"
    }
  ]
}