polymarket-arbitrage

· v0.1.0

High Risk

Monitor and execute arbitrage opportunities on Polymarket prediction markets. Detects math arbitrage (multi-outcome probability mismatches), cross-market arbitrage (same event different prices), and orderbook inefficiencies. Use when user wants to find or trade Polymarket arbitrage, monitor prediction markets for opportunities, or implement automated trading strategies. Includes risk management, P&L tracking, and alerting.

H:4 D:4 A:3 C:1

⚠️ Hazard Flags

EXEC FS_READ_WORKSPACE FS_WRITE_WORKSPACE NET_EGRESS_ANY ACT_SEND_MESSAGE PI_WEB

📋 Capabilities

Execution

✅ Shell execution
❌ Code execution
❌ Install dependencies
❌ Persistence
Privilege: user

Filesystem

✅ Read workspace
✅ Write workspace
❌ Read home
❌ Write home
❌ Read system
❌ Delete

Network

Egress: any
❌ Ingress

Credentials

❌ Environment vars
❌ Credential files
❌ Browser data
❌ Keychain

Actions

✅ send messages❌ post public❌ purchase❌ transfer money❌ deploy❌ delete external

🔒 Containment

Level: maximum

Required:

APPROVE_SEND: Can send messages
SANDBOX_CONTAINER: Code execution capability

Recommended:

LOG_ACTIONS: Audit trail for all actions

⚡ Risks

Resource abuse detected: RESOURCE_ABUSE_INFINITE_LOOP high

Mitigation: Add proper exit conditions or limits to loops

Unauthorized tool use: INSTRUCTED_BINARY_INSTALL high

Mitigation: Avoid instructing agents to install arbitrary binaries; bundle dependencies or use sandboxed environments

Command injection risk: MCP_SQL_BLIND high

Mitigation: Remove SQL exploitation patterns.

Social engineering indicators: SOCIAL_ENG_VAGUE_DESCRIPTION low

Mitigation: Provide clear, detailed description of skill functionality

Data exfiltration patterns: DATA_EXFIL_SENSITIVE_FILES, DATA_EXFIL_NETWORK_REQUESTS high

Mitigation: Do not access credential files or sensitive system files

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🚨 Incident Response

Kill switch: Stop the agent process

Containment: Review logs for unexpected actions

Recovery: Depends on skill capabilities

📄 Raw SSDS JSON click to expand

{
  "meta": {
    "document_id": "ssds:auto:polymarket-arbitrage:0.1.0",
    "ssds_version": "0.2.0",
    "scanner_version": "0.4.0+fe6fd9123d50",
    "created_at": "2026-03-05T02:27:03.888Z",
    "created_by": {
      "agent": "safeagentskills-cli/generate-ssds"
    },
    "language": "en",
    "notes": "Auto-generated SSDS. Manual review recommended."
  },
  "skill": {
    "name": "polymarket-arbitrage",
    "version": "0.1.0",
    "format": "agent_skill",
    "description": "Monitor and execute arbitrage opportunities on Polymarket prediction markets. Detects math arbitrage (multi-outcome probability mismatches), cross-market arbitrage (same event different prices), and orderbook inefficiencies. Use when user wants to find or trade Polymarket arbitrage, monitor prediction markets for opportunities, or implement automated trading strategies. Includes risk management, P&L tracking, and alerting.",
    "publisher": "ClawHub",
    "source": {
      "channel": "local"
    },
    "artifact": {
      "sha256": "78a501400c553deb5fb9f1c9af5756d9d9cc7cc537a789f927f64935c6906291",
      "hash_method": "files_sorted"
    }
  },
  "capabilities": {
    "execution": {
      "can_exec_shell": true,
      "can_exec_code": false,
      "privilege_level": "user",
      "can_install_deps": false,
      "can_persist": false
    },
    "filesystem": {
      "reads_workspace": true,
      "reads_user_home": false,
      "reads_system": false,
      "writes_workspace": true,
      "writes_user_home": false,
      "writes_system": false,
      "can_delete": false
    },
    "network": {
      "egress": "any",
      "ingress": false
    },
    "credentials": {
      "reads_env_vars": false,
      "reads_credential_files": false,
      "reads_browser_data": false,
      "reads_keychain": false
    },
    "services": [
      {
        "service": "messaging",
        "operations": [
          "read",
          "write"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "actions": {
      "can_send_messages": true,
      "can_post_public": false,
      "can_purchase": false,
      "can_transfer_money": false,
      "can_deploy": false,
      "can_delete_external": false
    },
    "prompt_injection_surfaces": [
      "web"
    ],
    "content_types": [
      "general"
    ]
  },
  "hazards": {
    "hdac": {
      "H": 4,
      "D": 4,
      "A": 3,
      "C": 1
    },
    "flags": [
      "EXEC",
      "FS_READ_WORKSPACE",
      "FS_WRITE_WORKSPACE",
      "NET_EGRESS_ANY",
      "ACT_SEND_MESSAGE",
      "PI_WEB"
    ],
    "custom_flags": [
      {
        "code": "RESOURCE_ABUSE",
        "name": "Resource Abuse Risk",
        "description": "RESOURCE_ABUSE_INFINITE_LOOP detected: Infinite loop without clear exit condition"
      },
      {
        "code": "TOOL_ABUSE",
        "name": "Unauthorized Tool Use",
        "description": "INSTRUCTED_BINARY_INSTALL: Instructs agent to install external binary or package"
      },
      {
        "code": "SOCIAL_ENGINEERING",
        "name": "Social Engineering Risk",
        "description": "SOCIAL_ENG_VAGUE_DESCRIPTION: Skill description is too vague or missing"
      },
      {
        "code": "COMMAND_INJECTION",
        "name": "Command Injection Risk",
        "description": "MCP_SQL_BLIND: Blind SQL injection, system table access, or stored procedure abuse"
      },
      {
        "code": "DATA_EXFILTRATION",
        "name": "Data Exfiltration Risk",
        "description": "DATA_EXFIL_SENSITIVE_FILES, DATA_EXFIL_NETWORK_REQUESTS: Accessing sensitive system or credential files"
      }
    ],
    "confidence": {
      "level": "medium",
      "basis": [
        "static_analysis"
      ],
      "notes": "Detected 5 security patterns (7 vendored rule hits). Review recommended."
    },
    "rationale": {
      "H": "H4: Critical: Privilege escalation or malware detected",
      "D": "D4: Critical: Credential theft or data exfiltration",
      "A": "A3: External actions (deploy/message/post)",
      "C": "C1: General content"
    }
  },
  "containment": {
    "level": "maximum",
    "required": [
      {
        "control": "APPROVE_SEND",
        "reason": "Can send messages"
      },
      {
        "control": "SANDBOX_CONTAINER",
        "reason": "Code execution capability"
      }
    ],
    "recommended": [
      {
        "control": "LOG_ACTIONS",
        "reason": "Audit trail for all actions"
      }
    ],
    "uncontained_risk": "Risk level depends on manual review of actual capabilities."
  },
  "risks": {
    "risks": [
      {
        "risk": "Resource abuse detected: RESOURCE_ABUSE_INFINITE_LOOP",
        "severity": "high",
        "mitigation": "Add proper exit conditions or limits to loops"
      },
      {
        "risk": "Unauthorized tool use: INSTRUCTED_BINARY_INSTALL",
        "severity": "high",
        "mitigation": "Avoid instructing agents to install arbitrary binaries; bundle dependencies or use sandboxed environments"
      },
      {
        "risk": "Command injection risk: MCP_SQL_BLIND",
        "severity": "high",
        "mitigation": "Remove SQL exploitation patterns."
      },
      {
        "risk": "Social engineering indicators: SOCIAL_ENG_VAGUE_DESCRIPTION",
        "severity": "low",
        "mitigation": "Provide clear, detailed description of skill functionality"
      },
      {
        "risk": "Data exfiltration patterns: DATA_EXFIL_SENSITIVE_FILES, DATA_EXFIL_NETWORK_REQUESTS",
        "severity": "high",
        "mitigation": "Do not access credential files or sensitive system files"
      }
    ],
    "limitations": [
      "Static analysis only - runtime behavior not verified"
    ]
  },
  "incident_response": {
    "kill_switch": [
      "Stop the agent process"
    ],
    "containment": [
      "Review logs for unexpected actions"
    ],
    "recovery": [
      "Depends on skill capabilities"
    ]
  },
  "evidence": [
    {
      "evidence_id": "EV:file-1",
      "type": "file_excerpt",
      "title": "_meta.json",
      "file_path": "_meta.json"
    },
    {
      "evidence_id": "EV:file-2",
      "type": "file_excerpt",
      "title": "scripts/detect_arbitrage.py",
      "file_path": "scripts/detect_arbitrage.py"
    },
    {
      "evidence_id": "EV:file-3",
      "type": "file_excerpt",
      "title": "scripts/fetch_markets.py",
      "file_path": "scripts/fetch_markets.py"
    },
    {
      "evidence_id": "EV:file-4",
      "type": "file_excerpt",
      "title": "scripts/monitor.py",
      "file_path": "scripts/monitor.py"
    },
    {
      "evidence_id": "EV:file-5",
      "type": "file_excerpt",
      "title": "SKILL.md",
      "file_path": "SKILL.md"
    },
    {
      "evidence_id": "EV:cisco-1",
      "type": "file_excerpt",
      "title": "DATA_EXFIL_SENSITIVE_FILES [HIGH] scripts/detect_arbitrage.py:29: with open(filepath, 'r') as f:",
      "file_path": "scripts/detect_arbitrage.py"
    },
    {
      "evidence_id": "EV:cisco-2",
      "type": "file_excerpt",
      "title": "DATA_EXFIL_NETWORK_REQUESTS [MEDIUM] scripts/fetch_markets.py:18: import requests",
      "file_path": "scripts/fetch_markets.py"
    },
    {
      "evidence_id": "EV:cisco-3",
      "type": "file_excerpt",
      "title": "DATA_EXFIL_SENSITIVE_FILES [HIGH] scripts/monitor.py:54: with open(filepath, 'r') as f:",
      "file_path": "scripts/monitor.py"
    },
    {
      "evidence_id": "EV:cisco-4",
      "type": "file_excerpt",
      "title": "RESOURCE_ABUSE_INFINITE_LOOP [HIGH] scripts/monitor.py:128: while True:",
      "file_path": "scripts/monitor.py"
    },
    {
      "evidence_id": "EV:cisco-5",
      "type": "file_excerpt",
      "title": "MCP_SQL_BLIND [HIGH] scripts/monitor.py:173: time.sleep(interval)",
      "file_path": "scripts/monitor.py"
    },
    {
      "evidence_id": "EV:cisco-6",
      "type": "file_excerpt",
      "title": "INSTRUCTED_BINARY_INSTALL [HIGH] SKILL.md:18: pip install requests beautifulsoup4",
      "file_path": "SKILL.md"
    },
    {
      "evidence_id": "EV:cisco-7",
      "type": "file_excerpt",
      "title": "SOCIAL_ENG_VAGUE_DESCRIPTION [LOW] SKILL.md:1: ---",
      "file_path": "SKILL.md"
    }
  ]
}